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The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.

In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.Now the national policy is obvious, that is, to build a financial power and do a good job in the stock market. This is the general trend. If you deny this, then don't speculate. Technical analysis is icing on the cake, and it won't be a gift in the snow. Therefore, it is reasonable to say that the role of technical analysis is only 20% whether stock trading makes money.However, to put it bluntly, most retail investors are positioned at the bottom of the stock market and are the weakest side in the short-term game. If you are not convinced, you can ask yourself: Are you sure that all the information you get is accurate first-hand information, not second-hand information that has been spread all over the world and it is difficult to tell the truth from the false? Are you sure you can really overcome human nature, be more ruthless than institutions and most retail investors, and strictly abide by trading discipline?

1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.After the imperial court, the Milky Way started to accelerate again, and December was a month of harvest!In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.